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Top 20 Fantasy QBs – Week 6

By on October 14, 2015

Quarterbacks


1. Andy Dalton

Opponent


@ Buffalo Bills

Last Week’s Score


26

 

 

 

Andy Dalton has undoubtedly been the most surprising breakout candidate this year in the NFL.  At the most important position in sports, Andy Dalton has definitely made the leap into the category of top signal-callers around the league.  With 13 total TDs, 1,518 yards, 67.5% completion rate, 115.6.0 passer rating, and only two INTs for the first 5 games, Andy Dalton is making his case for league MVP.  Watching The Red Rifle finally put up elite stats, I feel like Morpheus when Neo had deja vu in The Matrix, which is a great movie by the way. 

Anyways, I’ve listed Andy Dalton as my #1 this week because of his recent performance against the Seattle Seahawks (331 yards, 2 TDs – 26 fantasy points) and because of his favorable match up @ Buffalo.  Surprisingly, Buffalo has been very generous to QBs under new head coach Rex Ryan.  They allow the 9th most points to QBs, averaging 17.4 ppg allowed.  Dalton playing on the road shouldn’t frighten any fantasy owners, as he’s been straight fire on the road averaging 24 points in two road games.  Cincy’s offense has no sign of slowing down and neither does Andy Dalton.


 

2.  Tom Brady

@ Indianpolis Colts

25

 

 

Tom Brady is playing angry in 2015.  Since Week 1, he has been putting on an offensive clinic, showing no stoppage.  Whether or not the inspiration if from Deflategate or not, Brady has been unstoppable.  But speaking of Deflategate, it all started in last year’s AFC Championship Game featuring New England Patriots and Indianapolis Colts.  And guess who Brady and the Patriots’ next stop is?  You guessed it.  Indianapolis.

 

Historically, Brady has performed very well against the Colts’ defense.  In his last 4 games (including playoffs), he has averaged 253 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT, and only 16 fantasy ppg.  Not exactly staggering numbers, but this year it feels like we’re watching a brand new Brady.  Averaging 347 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs, and 25.5 fantasy ppg, Brady is at the top of his game.  Going up against a Colts defense who has allowed 17 fantasy ppg, 18th in the NFL, to QBs (Taylor, Fitzpatrick, Mariota, Bortles, and Hoyer/Mallet), it’ll be home-cooking for Brady owners.


 

 

3.  Aaron Rodgers

vs. San Diego Charger

14

 

 

Aaron Rodgers, at home, is phenomenal.  Simply amazing.  Sure, he threw two INTs in last week’s game vs. St. Louis, but those were his first since December 2, 2012.  I couldn’t even do that in Madden, believe me, I’ve tried.  And I’ll add that the first INT that he threw was because the ball was batted at the line allowing James Laurinaitis to make an amazing, diving INT, while the second INT was just a legitimately bad decision by Rodgers.

At home, he is still averaging 23 fantasy ppg.  Facing a statistically good Chargers’ pass defense, Rodgers will give them their toughest match up of the entire season.  We’ll see who is going to come out the victor, but, obviously, I’m picking Rodgers to light it up this Sunday.


 

 

4.  Carson Palmer

@ Pittsburgh Steelers

18

 

 

Carson Palmer and the Arizona Cardinals were red-hot last week blowing out the Detroit Lions at Ford Field 42-17.  Arizona exploded with 28 offensive points in the second quarter, and it was too easy for Palmer as he threw for 161 yards and 3 TDs, but let’s be honest.  Palmer would’ve easily thrown for 400+ yards and 5 TDs last week, but the Cardinals benched him when they went up 35-7 going into the fourth quarter.  Smart move considering Palmer’s health issues down the stretch last year.  Palmer could have thrown at least 15 TDs by now if the Cardinals hadn’t decided to dial it down in each of their three blowout games (Saints, Bears, Lions) this season.

Palmer is facing a generous Pittsburgh secondary who have surrendered 17.2 ppg to QBs this season, while Palmer is averaging 20 ppg.  The Cardinals are staking their claim as the best team in football and plan on utilizing Palmer’s skill set heavily on Sunday to help them win.


 

 

5.  Matt Ryan

@ Saints

8

 

 

Matt Ryan had an unexpectedly poor game last week against the Washington Redskins.  Still, him and the Falcons pulled out a victory on the back of RB Devonta Freeman.  With Freeman, being the breakout sophomore that he is, Ryan won’t be throwing as much as he’s needed to earlier this season.  However, expect over 250 yards and a couple of TDs from him per game.


 

6.  Philip Rivers

@ Green Bay Packers

20

 

 

Philip Rivers is having one of his best seasons averaging 17.6 ppg, good enough for 8th among QBs.  With Antonio Gates back in action, along with dynamic WR Keenan Allen, the Chargers will have an explosive passing attack vs. an above average Green Bay defense.

Green Bay has allowed QBs to score just 12.6 ppg, which is below NFL average (15.8).  However, Philip Rivers has been on a hot streak scoring at least 20+ points in the last two games.  It will undoubtedly be a shootout at Lambeau Field and Philip Rivers will have a day.


 

7. Cam Newton

@ Seattle Seahawks

BYE

 

 

Cam Newton has finally shown the maturation needed for a QB that likes to win more than seven games in a year.  Their balanced offense and 4-0 record coming out of their bye week has been the best start of Cam Newton’s tenure.  Newton currently ranks 9th in fantasy scoring among QBs and is facing a generous Seattle defense this week.  Maybe generous isn’t the word to describe the Seahwaks, as they are 12th in the league when it comes to fantasy points allowed to QBs, but that stat is a bit skewed.

Sure, Seattle’s defense has only allowed 15.2 ppg to QB’s, but against Nick Foles, Aaron Rodgers, and Andy Dalton they’ve allowed 18, 21, and 26 points, respectively.  The other QBs?  3 and 8 to Jimmy Clausen and Matthew Stafford, respectively.  Seahawks defense has also allowed two rushing TDs to QBs this season, and as many of you know, that’s kind of Cam Newton’s thing.  Expect a good outing for Superman.


 

7. Andrew Luck

vs. New England Patriots

Out with injury

 

 

The last three times Andrew Luck faced off against the New England Patriots he has averaged 11.3 ppg.  Very poor performances by him, including 4 TDs to 7 INTs.  Two of those games were away at Foxborough and they were horrendous, but, at home, it’s a different story.

In Week 11 of 2014, the Colts faced off against the Patriots, ending in a 42-20 loss.  Andrew Luck still threw 303 yards, 2 TDs, and just 1 INT, good enough for 19 points.  This performance was against a Patriots defense that included Pro-Bowler Darrelle Revis and Brandon Browner, whom the Patriots lost this offseason.  With those losses, the Patriots are slightly above the NFL average allowing 16 ppg to QBs.  Also, with brand new weapons Frank Gore, Andre Johnson, and majorly improved Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis is bound for revenge this Sunday night.


 

 

8.  Blake Bortles

vs. Houston Texans

28

 

 

NOTE:  Blake Bortles has been dealing with a Grade 1 AC joint sprain in his shoulder and his health status is day-by-day.  If Bortles is your regular starter, be looking for a back up plan.


 

9.  Russell Wilson

vs. Carolina Panthers

12

 

 


10. Josh McCown


vs. Denver Broncos


35

 

 

In Week 5, Josh McCown became the first QB in Browns’ history to throw for 300 yards in three consecutive games.  Last week, he TORCHED the Ravens’ secondary with 457 yards and 2 TDs through the air in a 33-30 win.  Going up against Denver’s defense is a whole other story though.

The Broncos’ defense is the best in fantasy when it comes to halting the QB, only allowing 7.2 ppg.  Forcing 7 INTs and allowing 3 TDs so far this season, they look to stop McCown who has thrown 6 TDs to 1 INT in the last three games.  Realistically, expect at least 15 points from McCown this week.



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